Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.215593 3.590422 3.996274 4.469163 5.006023 5.597702 6.300737
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.695776 3.196893 3.777405 4.502596 5.388423 6.440509 7.792452
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.354767 2.922696 3.615347 4.528474 5.709733 7.198645 9.236960
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.105910 2.712103 3.483065 4.545510 5.987220 7.897809 10.658779
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.869472 2.482184 3.289026 4.443015 6.073562 8.328945 11.744183
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.706068 2.327462 3.171536 4.419805 6.249433 8.881281 13.042570
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.563952 2.185571 3.053640 4.376508 6.380860 9.368880 14.285031
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.505369 2.154344 3.085821 4.548491 6.839806 10.381475 16.450385
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.407434 2.055986 3.009240 4.545720 7.024130 10.979492 18.007575
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.313475 1.955081 2.918890 4.510240 7.147754 11.484574 19.457859
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.181385 1.785649 2.709707 4.265976 6.903935 11.350635 19.763166
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.120375 1.722244 2.660928 4.276935 7.085510 11.953382 21.464493
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.081538 1.692768 2.666348 4.382525 7.447006 12.921795 24.003944
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.030537 1.639804 2.629233 4.411863 7.676040 13.675095 26.229977
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.983168 1.589218 2.591777 4.436293 7.896626 14.433211 28.565641
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.938532 1.539885 2.552330 4.452720 8.101877 15.180543 30.977757
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.878475 1.459995 2.454025 4.352520 8.072708 15.458727 32.408536
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.835847 1.407527 2.400053 4.329828 8.191349 16.045081 34.601722
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.793644 1.353067 2.338641 4.287518 8.265584 16.544637 36.661873
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.784582 1.357323 2.384050 4.455557 8.785804 18.050814 41.341132
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.752552 1.317605 2.345108 4.452850 8.946574 18.785597 44.232911
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.718601 1.272265 2.292542 4.418184 9.034784 19.365162 46.815182
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.661535 1.180505 2.145902 4.179509 8.654927 18.826558 46.385425